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Runway sensitivity matrix

Runway sensitivity matrix

Stress-test runway by changing revenue and expense assumptions. The matrix shows runway outcomes across best- and worst-case scenarios so you can plan defensively.

Scenario planning

Compare runway if revenue slips or expenses rise.

Decision clarity

Identify which levers most impact runway.

Runway range

See best- and worst-case runway months at a glance.

Enter base numbers

The matrix adjusts these base values across revenue and expense ranges.

Scenario ranges

Define how far revenue and expenses can move from the base case.

Founder tip

Try a wider range first, then narrow it to focus on realistic outcomes.

Runway snapshot

Use this summary to guide planning discussions.

Base runway

11.4 mo

Cash: $400,000

Best-case runway

19.0 mo

Worst-case runway

6.3 mo

Share this matrix

Links include your inputs so your team sees the same scenarios.

Runway sensitivity matrix

Rows = expense change, columns = revenue change
Expense \ Revenue80%90%100%110%120%
90%11.412.714.316.319.0
100%9.510.411.412.714.3
110%8.28.89.510.411.4
120%7.17.68.28.89.5
130%6.36.77.17.68.2

Why this matters

Sensitivity analysis keeps teams aligned on what changes move runway the most. It is especially useful before hiring or fundraising decisions.

Keyword tip

Founders search for "runway sensitivity analysis" and "startup runway scenarios".

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FAQs

What is a runway sensitivity matrix?

It shows how runway changes when revenue or expenses move up or down. It helps founders stress-test assumptions.

How should I pick revenue and expense ranges?

Use realistic variance based on your last few months. The matrix is most useful when ranges reflect plausible outcomes.

Why does CF+ appear?

CF+ means cash-flow positive. In those scenarios, revenue covers expenses so runway is effectively unlimited.

Is my data stored?

No. All calculations run locally in your browser and nothing is stored on the server.